Economy
Economy News
GDP · Inflation · Fiscal Policy
economyTrump's Policies Intensify U.S. Debt Crisis as It Exceeds $40 Trillion
The U.S. national debt has exceeded $40 trillion during Trump's second term, driven by increased federal spending and the costly war with Iran. Rising borrowing costs and fiscal policies have intensified concerns about the sustainability of federal finances.
economyIndia's Forex Reserves Surge to Record $729 Billion
India's forex reserves have reached a record $729 billion, driven by a $2.801 billion increase in gold reserves. This marks a significant milestone, highlighting India's robust economic position amid global uncertainties.
economyBoE Projects Inflation and Growth Scenarios Post Rate Hold
The Bank of England holds interest rates steady, projecting three scenarios for inflation and growth through 2029. The central scenario sees inflation peaking at 3.2% in 2026, while growth remains steady at 1.1% through 2027.
economyAI Investment Surge Challenges Central Banks' Inflation Analysis
The BIS highlights the challenges AI-driven investments pose for central banks in assessing inflation and monetary policy. While AI spending boosts economic activity, its long-term impact could be disinflationary. Policymakers must navigate blurred economic signals and uneven global effects.
economyUS Fed Likely to Maintain Rates Amid Inflation Concerns
The US Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates at 3.50-3.75 percent amid ongoing inflation concerns. Despite easing consumer inflation, geopolitical tensions and rising energy prices continue to pressure the Fed's decision-making.
economyJapan's Core Inflation Rises in June; BOJ Rate Decision Looms
Japan's core CPI rose 1.6% in June, driven by last year's gasoline price base effect. Economists foresee stronger inflationary pressures later this year due to rising producer prices and a weaker yen. The Bank of Japan's upcoming policy meeting will be pivotal in shaping market expectations.
economyUS House Approves Stopgap Funding Bill to Prevent Shutdown
The US House has passed a stopgap funding bill to maintain federal operations until early December, avoiding a potential government shutdown. The bill, passed by a 220-205 vote, now moves to the Senate. Republicans aim to prevent prolonged standoffs and allocate time for other legislative priorities.
economyFed's Jefferson Signals Possible Rate Hike if Inflation Persists
Federal Reserve official Jefferson suggests interest rates may remain unchanged to support the labor market, but warns a policy reassessment may be needed if inflation persists. The Fed's internal debate intensifies as inflation risks remain a concern.
economyFed Officials Cautious on Inflation Despite Softer CPI Data
Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Kevin Warsh and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, have expressed caution despite a softer US inflation report, indicating more evidence is needed before any policy shift. Markets have reduced expectations of an imminent rate hike following the report.
economyFed Faces Inflation Challenges Amid AI and Geopolitical Tensions
The Federal Reserve continues to face inflation challenges, with the PCE Price Index at twice its target. AI investments and geopolitical tensions add to price pressures, while the labor market stabilizes. Economic growth remains moderate.
economyFed Officials Split on Inflation; US Home Prices Peak
Federal Reserve officials are divided on U.S. inflation, while U.S. home prices hit a record high. The IMF has downgraded global growth forecasts due to the Iran war, and global oil demand is expected to decline.
economyJapan Revises Economic Blueprint to Reinforce BOJ Independence
Japan is revising its economic blueprint to reinforce the Bank of Japan's independence in monetary policy. The changes aim to reassure markets while aligning with economic growth efforts.
economy8th Pay Commission May Retain 2.57 Fitment Factor Amid Concerns
The 8th Pay Commission is likely to retain the fitment factor close to 2.57 due to fiscal burden concerns. This decision impacts government employees' salaries and is part of broader fiscal management efforts.
economyUS Weekly Jobless Claims Drop Amid Seasonal Adjustments
US weekly jobless claims fell more than expected last week, influenced by the Juneteenth holiday and seasonal factors. Despite fluctuations, the labor market remains stable, with no significant layoffs reported.
economyUS Revises Q1 GDP Growth to 2.1% Amid Import Adjustments
The US has revised its first-quarter GDP growth for 2026 to 2.1%, up from a previous estimate of 1.6%. The adjustment was mainly due to a downward revision in imports, with significant contributions from the AI-driven information services sector.
economyTokyo Core Inflation Rises as Energy Costs Broaden Price Pressures
Tokyo's core CPI rose 1.6% in June, driven by rising energy costs. The Bank of Japan is closely monitoring these inflationary pressures as it prepares for its policy meeting. The BOJ recently raised interest rates to a 31-year high, signaling readiness to tighten further.
economyRBI Faces Balancing Act Amid Falling Oil Prices and Inflation Concerns
With crude oil prices falling, the RBI's growth forecasts for FY27 may be more optimistic, but supply chain disruptions and inflation concerns persist. The central bank faces a delicate balance in its monetary policy decisions, considering current financial conditions and foreign currency inflows.
economyIndia's Growth Rate: Is 6.5% Enough to Avoid the Middle Income Trap?
Economists agree that India's 6.5% growth rate is sustainable but insufficient for achieving 'Viksit Bharat'. The country risks remaining in the middle income trap without increased private investment and effective policy execution.
economyUS Job Growth Resilient in May Amid Economic Pressures
US employers added 172,000 jobs in May, indicating labour market resilience despite economic pressures from the Iran war. Unemployment held steady at 4.3%, with broad-based hiring and moderate wage growth.
economyFed's Schmid Weighs Patience Against Rate Hikes Amid Inflation
Federal Reserve official Schmid has expressed concerns about rising inflation, which has reached approximately 3.5%. The Fed is contemplating whether to remain patient or increase interest rates to manage inflationary pressures. The upcoming Fed meeting on June 16-17 will be closely watched for any policy changes.
economyUS Jobless Claims Rise Unexpectedly; Labor Market Holds Steady
U.S. jobless claims rose to 225,000, exceeding expectations, yet layoffs remain low, maintaining a stable labor market. The Federal Reserve's Beige Book indicates minimal employment changes, while geopolitical tensions have not yet impacted the labor market.
economyUS Economy Thrives; India Urged to Boost Reforms and AI Use
Ajay Srivastava urges India to focus on economic reforms and AI adoption, highlighting the robust US economy. He emphasizes the need for global diversification and technological change for Indian investors.
economyFed's Warsh Faces Inflation Challenges Amid Economic Strain
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces rising inflation pressures as the U.S. economy grapples with energy-related costs linked to the Iran war. The Beige Book highlights weakening consumer demand and rising costs, presenting a challenging scenario for the Fed.
economyUS Fed Reports Iran Conflict Fuelling Inflationary Pressures
The Federal Reserve's Beige Book indicates that the US-Iran conflict is driving inflation, with energy prices soaring due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Economic activity shows slight to moderate growth, while manufacturing hiring remains strong.